Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 0.186637 0.216957 0.250694 0.291030 0.337967 0.390893 0.455150
2025-03-09 0.141346 0.182206 0.232597 0.299384 0.385714 0.493736 0.639497
2025-03-16 0.114821 0.158924 0.217309 0.300402 0.415916 0.571281 0.796935
2025-03-23 0.098458 0.144388 0.208799 0.305948 0.449275 0.653781 0.969296
2025-03-30 0.083327 0.128425 0.194884 0.300268 0.463931 0.709691 1.109214
2025-04-06 0.072307 0.116497 0.184561 0.297435 0.480973 0.769492 1.261097
2025-04-13 0.064229 0.107753 0.177555 0.298148 0.502657 0.837916 1.434336
2025-04-20 0.059949 0.104436 0.178519 0.311495 0.546043 0.945936 1.686682
2025-04-27 0.055800 0.100686 0.178106 0.322123 0.585658 1.051788 1.948578
2025-05-04 0.051924 0.096841 0.176917 0.330972 0.622819 1.157236 2.222901
2025-05-11 0.047636 0.091656 0.172612 0.333386 0.648096 1.243579 2.471965
2025-05-18 0.043245 0.085697 0.166107 0.330678 0.662987 1.311654 2.693605
2025-05-25 0.038434 0.078426 0.156426 0.320917 0.663490 1.353241 2.870725
2025-06-01 0.036226 0.076100 0.156168 0.330121 0.703720 1.479530 3.241972
2025-06-08 0.033447 0.072232 0.152296 0.331245 0.727009 1.573404 3.555978
2025-06-15 0.031431 0.069714 0.150889 0.337369 0.761674 1.695386 3.948476
2025-06-22 0.028575 0.065008 0.144248 0.331097 0.767889 1.755563 4.207351
2025-06-29 0.026278 0.061273 0.139285 0.327969 0.780799 1.832187 4.515196
2025-07-06 0.024499 0.058513 0.136185 0.328755 0.802932 1.932718 4.894706
2025-07-13 0.023819 0.058260 0.138811 0.343494 0.860538 2.124574 5.528930
2025-07-20 0.022972 0.057501 0.140148 0.355232 0.912178 2.308210 6.167694
2025-07-27 0.022057 0.056461 0.140681 0.365005 0.960055 2.488319 6.822446
2025-08-03 0.020811 0.054436 0.138551 0.367671 0.989753 2.625426 7.379902